NHPC

NHPC · NSE · Large Cap

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IPP / Developer·Listed·Directness 40/100

NHPC

Hydro PSU diversifying into solar and pumped-hydro storage projects.

IPP / Developer
Sell / Avoid
Last price
80.00
52W: ₹69 – ₹92
-13.3% from 52W high
Mkt Cap
₹80.35K Cr
P/E
25.5x
EV/EBITDA
22.1x
ROCE
7.4%
ROE
7.5%
Book Value
₹41.0
Promoter
67.4%
Real financial data sourced from Screener.in · annual + quarterly statements below

Scoring breakdown

SageOne-style fundamental · TQ-100 technical · solar overlays

B
Fundamental (30%)
38
Valuation (20%)
71
Technical (20%)
58
Solar exposure (10%)
40
Policy beneficiary (7.5%)
65
Project pipeline (5%)
60
Governance safety (7.5%)
80

52-week position

Real snapshot from Screener

69Current: ₹8092
P/E
25.5x
P/B
2.0x
Div Yield
2.37%

Investment thesis

One-liner · bull · bear · monitorables

One-liner. NHPC: capacity compounding meets falling tariffs — capital recycling and offtaker mix decide equity IRR.

Bull case

Bull case for NHPC: continued capacity ramp at attractive unit economics, supportive policy (PLI / ALMM / RPO / open access), benign module + commodity cycle, healthy receivable conversion, and re-rating from current valuation as execution beats consensus.

Bear case

Bear case for NHPC: module/tariff price crash, working-capital blowout from DISCOM receivables, leverage spiking past 4x net-debt/EBITDA, ALMM/PLI delays, Chinese dumping, and de-rating to historical median multiples on growth disappointment.

Key monitorables
  • 01Quarterly capacity commissioned vs guidance
  • 02Receivable days from DISCOMs and large customers
  • 03Net debt / EBITDA trajectory
  • 04Order book to revenue cover
  • 05Average realized tariff and merchant exposure
  • 06Capital recycling via InvIT / asset sales
  • 07Equity IRR vs cost of equity

Solar exposure

Directness · policy linkage · BOM

Primary segmentIPP / Developer
Directness40/100
ALMM eligible
PLI beneficiary
Imported BOM

Valuation snapshot

Multiple methods · solar-specific multiples

MethodValueHist %ile
P/E (TTM)25.5x
Forward P/E
EV/EBITDA22.1x
EV/Sales11.6x
P/B2.0x
FCF Yield-3.1%

Project pipeline

1 tracked project

NHPC Salal Solar Floating
Jammu & Kashmir · Utility Solar
Under Construction
200 MW· ₹1.40K Cr· ₹4.05/kWh· COD FY27

Financials

Source: Screener.in (consolidated) · ticker NHPC · last updated 2026-05-11

Open on Screener.in
Market Cap
₹80.35K Cr
Price
₹80.00
Stock P/E
25.5x
Book Value
₹41.0
ROCE
7.4%
ROE
7.5%
Div Yield
2.37%
52W Range
₹69 – ₹92

Ratio analysis (derived from statements)

Growth · profitability · returns · leverage · cash flow · valuation

Growth
Sales 1Y7.8%
Sales 3Y CAGR4.3%
Sales 5Y CAGR1.8%
PAT 1Y-14.7%
PAT 3Y CAGR-3.3%
PAT 5Y CAGR-1.3%
Profitability
OPM latest52.0%
PAT margin latest32.9%
PAT margin 3Y avg38.2%
ROE7.5%
ROCE7.4%
Asset turnover0.10x
Leverage & cash
D / E1.00x
Net Debt / EBITDA7.29x
Borrowings / Assets38.5%
CFO / EBITDA0.93x
CFO / PAT1.47x
FCF (TTM proxy)₹-2.52K Cr
Valuation
P/E25.5x
EV/EBITDA22.1x
EV/Sales11.55x
P/B1.95x
FCF Yield-3.14%
Div Yield2.37%

Annual P&L · 5 years

₹ Crore. Source: Screener.in consolidated.

MetricMar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Sales9,6489,14410,6079,63110,380
Operating Profit5,2774,0136,1844,9365,423
OPM %55%44%58%51%52%
Net Profit3,6003,7744,2614,0003,412
EPS (₹)3.263.513.893.582.99

Quarterly results · last 4 quarters

₹ Crore.

MetricMar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025
Sales2,3473,2143,3652,221
OPM %46%56%60%10%
Net Profit9201,1311,219321

Balance sheet · 5 years

₹ Crore.

ItemMar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Equity Capital10,04510,04510,04510,04510,045
Reserves23,00824,87626,91628,62429,623
Borrowings23,36526,09629,54032,56139,557
Fixed Assets21,99321,82522,13721,47422,168
Total Assets73,13677,28886,21192,2671,02,680

Cash flow · 5 years

₹ Crore.

ActivityMar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Operating5,0704,5904,7057,2525,026
Investing-1,607-3,084-4,191-5,940-7,550
Financing-3,058-638-795-9241,904
Net Cash Flow405868-281388-620

Shareholding pattern

Latest disclosed

Promoters
67.40%
FII
10.34%
DII
10.78%
Public
10.36%
Government
1.13%

Policy linkages

Schemes where this company is a confirmed or likely beneficiary

No direct policy linkages tracked.